Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.104615 0.120799 0.138660 0.159834 0.184257 0.211552 0.244384
2026-02-01 0.075647 0.096422 0.121687 0.154685 0.196677 0.248385 0.316986
2026-02-08 0.062671 0.085591 0.115419 0.157107 0.213937 0.288827 0.395251
2026-02-15 0.053303 0.077005 0.109601 0.157742 0.227155 0.323830 0.469138
2026-02-22 0.046773 0.070936 0.105790 0.159785 0.241512 0.360924 0.549347
2026-03-01 0.040315 0.063851 0.099280 0.156558 0.247097 0.385172 0.612726
2026-03-08 0.035286 0.058142 0.093911 0.154035 0.252913 0.409717 0.678614
2026-03-15 0.031973 0.054650 0.091440 0.155555 0.264943 0.444818 0.764870
2026-03-22 0.030225 0.053469 0.092470 0.162785 0.286954 0.498201 0.887318
2026-03-29 0.028245 0.051610 0.092079 0.167408 0.304819 0.546211 1.005615
2026-04-05 0.026365 0.049674 0.091283 0.171113 0.321291 0.593258 1.127151
2026-04-12 0.024416 0.047367 0.089526 0.172780 0.334062 0.634727 1.242666
2026-04-19 0.022134 0.044206 0.085925 0.170711 0.339833 0.664347 1.340130
2026-04-26 0.019700 0.040471 0.080834 0.165186 0.338287 0.679884 1.411907
2026-05-03 0.018456 0.038963 0.079894 0.167773 0.353132 0.728974 1.557014
2026-05-10 0.017144 0.037155 0.078141 0.168452 0.364043 0.771129 1.692281
2026-05-17 0.016108 0.035808 0.077172 0.170634 0.378289 0.821536 1.850754
2026-05-24 0.014680 0.033440 0.073787 0.167187 0.379884 0.845090 1.952565
2026-05-31 0.013461 0.031401 0.070894 0.164492 0.382804 0.871724 2.064197
2026-06-07 0.012692 0.030300 0.069954 0.166116 0.395714 0.921928 2.236096
2026-06-14 0.012418 0.030326 0.071563 0.173839 0.423692 1.009439 2.506620
2026-06-21 0.011962 0.029864 0.071988 0.178777 0.445531 1.084828 2.756202
2026-06-28 0.011471 0.029261 0.072014 0.182735 0.465391 1.157514 3.007326